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Tuesday, October 20, 2015

"... the burning question in Republican circles is starting to shift from 'When will Trump falter?' to 'What if he doesn’t?'"

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COMMENTS:
*  "The GOP can't even PICK a Speaker.  No ones qualified."  Agreed and not only can't the GOP pick a Speaker, the entire GOP has proven it is incapable of governing and is of no use toward serving the best interests of society, but only its worse.
*  Obstructionism has become their way of governing to the extent they can no longer come together as a party... much like Iraq falling apart, the Republicans are likely to all go down separately.  They have put their personal egos and ideologies ahead of our country's interests and future. Donald Trump is not a fresh face we should  hope for or turn to because he's the worst of the lot... he degrades everyone although he knows virtually nothing! Makes me heartsick! 
*  I suppose that I'm not the first to say this, but the repub leadership is getting bitten by its own tiger.  They were the ones who turned loose first the religious nut cases and then the teahadists.  It doesn't take anything in the way of intelligence to foresee that this would have a bad ending because we've seen time and again that creating a monster eventually ends in you getting eaten.  Think al Qaeda.  They have no one to blame but themselves.
   *  And they've also programmed Republican voters to prefer non-politicians as candidates, despite always themselves preferring to run professional politicians and pretend they weren't pros, and Trump is pushing all the right buttons in all the right ways. And so is Carson, to a certain extent.
*  The Frankenstein monster has taken over the castle. What the hell will Dr. Frankenstein do now?
*   Well GOP, this is the monster you created and now he's eating up your party. 4 years ago he was the man to see, the man to get Obama over the birther thing and of course he's rich, very rich. Now he's standing there, making an a$$ if himself and the right is eating it up. When you talk off the wall crap for so long your followers get conditioned to it and want even worse off the wall crap. Sort of like a drug addict that needs heavier drugs to get that high. Donald is their new best high. Say bye bye to the Grand Old Party thanks to the Great and Powerful OZ.
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Latest polls cause GOP establishment to think the unthinkable
By Steve Benen, October 20, 2015

For three months, we’ve all heard all kinds of assumptions about Donald Trump’s Republican presidential campaign. He’d peaked. His act had worn thin. His lead was simply unsustainable.

And yet, the latest polling continues to speak for itself. Consider the results of the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey, released last night.

1. Donald Trump: 25% (up four points from September)
2. Ben Carson: 22% (up two points)
3. Marco Rubio: 13% (up two points)
4. Ted Cruz: 9% (up four points)
5. Jeb Bush: 8% (up one point)
6. Carly Fiorina: 7% (down four points)

The remaining candidates are at 3% or lower, including Chris Christie, who has seen his support steadily drop in recent months, falling to just 1% in this poll. Trump’s 25% showing, meanwhile, represents the strongest support any GOP candidate has in any NBC/WSJ poll this year.

A new CNN poll offers similar results:

1. Donald Trump: 27% (up three points from September)
2. Ben Carson: 22% (up eight points)
3. Jeb Bush: 8% (down one point)
3. Marco Rubio: 8% (down three points)

The remaining candidates are at 5% or lower. Fiorina, in particular, has seen her standing collapse, dropping from 15% to 4% in the CNN poll just over the course of one month.

Regardless, the burning question in Republican circles is starting to shift from “When will Trump falter?” to “What if he doesn’t?”

As Rachel noted on the show last night, National Review published a striking piece yesterday noting that the GOP establishment, long confident that Trump’s backing would be fleeting, is starting to reevaluate its assumptions.
It began as whispers in hushed corners: Could it ever happen? And now, just three months from the Iowa caucuses, members of the Republican establishment are starting to give voice to an increasingly common belief that Donald Trump, once dismissed as joke, a carnival barker, and a circus freak, might very well win the nomination.

“Trump is a serious player for the nomination at this time,” says Ed Rollins, who served as the national campaign director for Reagan’s 1984 reelection and as campaign chairman for Mike Huckabee in 2008.
The same piece quoted Steve Schmidt, an MSNBC political analyst who managed John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign, saying, “Trump has sustained a lead for longer than there are days left” before voting begins in Iowa.

This isn’t to say Trump is necessarily the likely nominee; plenty of candidates who were ahead in the October before the primaries have seen those leads evaporate.

But ask yourself this: if you removed the names from the poll results and look solely at the numbers, how quick would you be to dismiss the one candidate who’s stood atop every poll for the last three months?
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