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Sunday, October 18, 2015

"Populist mobilization of righteous voter anger over the corruption of the Washington establishment is more likely to benefit the Democrats in 2016."

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COMMENTS: 
*  I don't think it is the media. The right wing always slams the media but if they did not have a story to cover like the corruption in your party and craziness of the candidates statements they can't make it up (Well Fox does but they don't count). The GOP seems to give so many hypocritical statements, outright lies, and just plain stupid and crazy things the media has no choice but to report it. Then the GOP and their loyal followers have to blame someone for Misquoting, or not understanding what the person meant........they are making the comment on camera in full view of the world yet cannot take responsibility for the stupidity so they blame the media. Of course your Right wingnut blame the media they have to blame someone and it can't be the idiots who say and do the stupidity that comes right out of their mouths.
*  Why can't you find a leader in GOP. Who is your leader?
*  STOP watching Fox news and your damaged brain will start to heal it self!!!!!!!
*  And in that 14 years of GOP control in Congress we have seen the lowest amount of legislation passed in US history. We have seen countless millions wasted on political investigations, ie: witchhunts, against political opponents, we have seen the senseless 60+ votes against meaningful healthcare for millions of Americans, and we have seen the rise of anger and divisiveness in politics not seen before in the past century. This is the GOP's legacy in Congress.
   *  The less legislation they pass, the better for US citizens. Everything passed has done the complete opposite of its intended purpose so why do you value their laws designed to enrich the rich and well connected?
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Allegations of Political Corruption Fuel Republican Self-Destruction
By James Nolt, October 17, 2015

The revelations of Republican muckrakers like Steve Bannon and Peter Schweizer illustrate how the Republican Party is bent on self-destruction. It reminds me of the old saying, "People who live in glass houses should not throw stones."

Both are among the well-connected right-wing activists who have helped energize the Tea Party and oust Republican Speaker of the House John Boehner. Bannon has made a career of documenting political corruption in the tradition of the Drudge Report. He is now executive chairman of Breitbart News, a successor to Drudge.

Schweizer, president of the Government Accountability Institute (GAI), authored a best-selling book, Clinton Cash: The Untold Story of How and Why Foreign Governments and Businesses Helped Make Bill and Hillary Rich. In a few days, the GAI will publish Schweizer's e-book, Bush Bucks: How Public Service and Corporations Helped Make Jeb Rich. Like the Tea Party, Bannon and Schweizer are equal-opportunity despoilers, attacking establishment candidates of both parties.

Bannon and Schweizer channel some the same populist disgust with establishment politics that fuels both the Donald Trump and Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-Vt.) campaigns. Ironically, the "glass house" that is the Republican Party may be more vulnerable to this sort of stone throwing than the Democratic Party. As Sanders argued during Tuesday's Democratic Party presidential debate, the Democrats usually win when voter turnout is high. The Republicans typically benefit from low voter turnout. Populist mobilization of righteous voter anger over the corruption of the Washington establishment is more likely to benefit the Democrats in 2016.

This may seem counterintuitive, since the White House is in Democratic hands, so it might seem that the "throw the bums out" mentality would argue for a change of Presidential party leadership. However, the Republican Party dominates both houses of Congress, so it is not so obvious which incumbents are more detested.

There is also some symmetry in the fact that both parties have an "outsider" candidate not beholden to corporate campaign contributions: Donald Trump in the Republican Party and Bernie Sanders for the Democrats. Both outsiders mobilize voter disgust, but neither is likely to win their party's nomination. So what is the difference? The difference lies in the character of Trump and Sanders and, as Sanders hinted, the likely impact in voter mobilization.

When Trump shows up at the Republican convention with less than a majority of the delegates (by far the most likely result), party leaders will try their best to unite around a more acceptable candidate without Trump's protectionist leanings, which are such an anathema to most of the party's corporate funding base. Since no other Republican candidate has shown much ability yet to excite the voters, whatever dark horse they settle on will lack a broad mandate. Trump may stew at being sidelined.

On the other hand, the Democratic Party convention is likely to be no more than a coronation. Hillary will show up with a majority of the delegates. Sanders will make a rousing speech to keep his supporters energized for the fall election. Knowing the importance of voter mobilization for a Democratic victory, Sanders will most assuredly campaign vigorously for the Democratic nominee.

The Democrats will exemplify party unity and disciple, already more evident in their more congenial debate. The Republicans will exemplify division and resentment, even against their own leaders, as has occurred recently in the fight over the leadership of the House.

Even if muckrakers like Bannon and Schweizer dig up devastating dirt against Hillary, the Democrats have a very plausible Plan B. Vice President Joe Biden is waiting in the wings. Hillary's very credible performance in Tuesday's debate weighs against the likelihood that Biden will enter the race, but if Hillary is somehow crippled by scandal, a draft Biden movement will surely revive.

The current disarray in the Republican Party mitigates against overcoming the stinging political corruption revelations of the conservative muckrakers. On the other hand, Sanders key moment in the debate, when he shouted, "America is sick and tired of hearing about [Hillary's] damn emails," indicates that Democrats will stay united on their message. That message includes Sanders' popular diatribes against economic inequality, political corruption, and the "billionaire class." Even the most conservative Democratic on the stage Tuesday, former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, echoed Sanders' key themes. Thus revelations of political corruption are more likely to mobilize Democratic voters while disillusioned Trump and Tea Party voters feel betrayed and stay home or even switch parties.

Six months ago I would have said that the presidential election of 2016 was likely to go in the Republican's favor, but now, seeing the deep divisions within the party and the helplessness of the party establishment to reign in the rebels, I am convinced that a Republican presidential win in 2016 is unlikely.
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