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Tuesday, March 8, 2016

"... Senate obstruction is actually a rational move for a Republican establishment that's witnessed its share of irrational behavior this year."

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COMMENTS: 
*  UH........no. The math makes it likely that the Republicans will LOSE the Senate. Not only does this give Obama a chance to go full Thermonuclear in January, but it means that that Hillary's "fight" won't really be all that tough - especially if she simply honor's Obama's nominee. Now, when Justice Ginsburg retires in the next year so, we'll be staying at that 5-4 court. If Justice Thomas were to slip in the shower, however...............  Seriously, the Republicans are way, WAY overplaying their hand on this and it's gonna be fun to watch them wail and moan when they have to deal with the payback.
*  The GOP is not very smart. They are losing clout with the people of their own party. People are tired of 2 faced liars who does everything to disrespect the people yet fill their pockets. They are destroying themselves and are not willing to change even knowing the tide has changed and the people are tired and voting.
*  Everyone SAYS to vote out all incumbents. But when they VOTE, they always vote for their incumbent and expect every other state to vote out theirs. With a 12% approval rating, 92% of incumbents were re-elected. You have to back up your anti-incumbent words with your vote. I can't vote out YOUR guy for you.
*  Gotta love when the republicans talk about Harry Reid being an obstructionist, he is a rank amateur compared to Mitchie and his cronies who have it down to a science. If these jokers don't want to do any work why don't they just resign and go crawl back under their rocks?
*  What I’m hoping will happen is that Obama will choose a woman or Hispanic so that the republicans can insult the hell out of them. The way they did with Sonia Sotomayor. This would piss off either Hispanics or women. Without a large block of either group the republicans can’t win.
*  What is this Republican obstruction nonsense? Obama has not nominated anybody. What is there for the Republicans to obstruct?
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Why Republican Obstruction on the Supreme Court (Even with a President Hillary) Makes Political Sense
By Kevin Townsend, March 7, 2016

As the race narrows around a likely Donald-Hillary fight, Republican elites have lamented that there may be another President Clinton come 2017. Betting markets agree. Hillary Clinton boasts a 68% likelihood of being the next president, while Trump has a slim 19%. Every other candidate is at 3% or less.

Despite these odds of a Democratic three-peat, Senate Republicans have stuck to their argument that the next president, and not President Obama, should appoint the new Supreme Court justice.

"If Hillary is elected, and certainly if there's a Democratic Senate, the Republicans would be much better off with a moderate nominee now," said Harvard constitutional law professor Lawrence H. Tribe in an interview with James B. Stewart. "That's a rational way of looking at it."

But waiting until 2017 to fill the court vacancy is indeed a rational, if cynical, stance for Republicans.

As Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza remarked on a recent Meet the Press, each presidency has "one big swing," one fight in which to spend the political capital of their election. And, Todd notes, "if your first hundred days is dominated by a Supreme Court fight, in [this] environment, you will get nothing else done."

With that in mind, Republican obstruction makes political sense. Whether approved under a lame-duck President Obama or a newly elected President Clinton, the new justice would vote with the court's liberals. With more 5-4 splits than ever, neither appointer-in-chief could pass up the opportunity to shift the court's balance.

However, waiting until 2017 puts a steeper price tag on the appointment. President Clinton would have to spend her "one big swing" on the nomination battle, while President Obama would get a legacy-defining appointment on the cheap.

Unless politics magically becomes less polarized over the course of an election year, that rationale isn't likely to change.

Of course, individual Republican senators may break ranks if voter anger over the court vacancy threatens their own reelection chances, as some early polling indicates. It's a particularly tough cycle for the GOP. Of the eight seats in serious contention, six are Republican-held. And five of those are in presidential battleground states, where scorched-earth tactics will have down-ticket effects beyond whatever impact a Trump nomination holds.

At a party level though, Senate obstruction is actually a rational move for a Republican establishment that's witnessed its share of irrational behavior this year.
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