Poll: Republicans Widen Lead in Generic Ballot
By Caitlin Huey-Burns, December 26, 2013
A
new poll shows Republicans have increased their edge in the race for
control of Congress, overturning an eight-point lead Democrats held
two months ago in a generic ballot.
A CNN/ORC
International survey released
Thursday finds the GOP leading Democrats by 49 percent to 44 percent
among registered voters asked to pick between unnamed candidates from
each party in their district.
The
poll, which found Republicans with a two-point edge last month, marks
a continued shift in the generic ballot following the flawed rollout
of the Affordable Care Act sign-up website, and controversy
surrounding insurance plans canceled to comply with the new law.
In
October, Democrats led Republicans by 50 percent to 42 percent -- an
advantage that followed the government shutdown and fight over the
debt ceiling and reflected the Republicans’ damaged brand
nationwide. In November, the GOP picked up some steam in the generic
ballot, edging Democrats by 49 percent to 47 percent over a month
into the implementation of the health care law.
The
new poll also finds low enthusiasm among registered voters for the
2014 midterm elections: 30 percent say they are “extremely” or
“very enthusiastic” about voting next year, and 43 percent say
they are not enthusiastic. Four years ago, the same poll found 40
percent enthusiastic about voting and 25 percent not enthusiastic.
Republicans have an advantage in this gap: 36 percent of GOPers say
they are enthusiastic about voting, compared to 22 percent of
Democrats.
President
Obama’s approval rating has been dropping in national polls, and he
could be a drag on fellow party members next year. The CNN poll found
that 55 percent of voters say they are more likely to vote for a
candidate who opposes the president, while 40 percent say they are
likely to chose a candidate who supports him.
Republicans
control the House by a 17-seat margin, and redistricting after the
2010 census strengthened many GOP districts. Democrats control the
Senate with 55 seats (including two independents who caucus with
Democrats). National surveys find Congress’ approval at all-time
lows, and analysts have found the 113th Congress to be the least
productive, so far, in history.
ORC
International surveyed 1,035 adults from Dec. 16-19. The poll’s
margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points.
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