"Trump is an electoral disaster waiting to happen."

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COMMENTS: 
*  The GOP has no choice but to allow Hillary to win because the GOP has to somehow split up trumps votes. Trump cannot be allowed to win. This has to be done even though splitting the vote would insure both a trump and GOP defeat, Trump has to be forced to lose otherwise he will kill the party for decades as well as losing the house and senate. Or worse; he could turn America into a Putin style dictatorship and end America for good. This means the democrats would only win the presidency, not the house or senate, and only set the GOP back 4 years. The alternative would be much worse.
*  Donald Trump lies when he says he's bringing people to the primaries to vote for him since the voters can switch parties in the open elections. Hillary Clinton has amassed 1.1 MM more votes than Trump. He lies so much and our reporters except for Chris Mathews are not sharp enough to challenge his lies.
*  The problem with the GOP is that for the last 7 years they've concentrated so much effort on making Obama look bad that they neglected to make one of their own look good.....OOPS! Trump is winning because he's running, in the primaries, against losers.
*  LOVE this article. Because this IS the "grass roots" and "reality" of what WILL end up happening to this loser. He is SO unliked right now. That his vulgar mouth has ended up nipping him right in his proverbial ass...!!! It doesn't feel good to lose now does is Donald. Perhaps this will be a hard lesson for you in humility and proper etiquette. Two things your money CANNOT buy...(g)
*  I am a conservative Republican. I will not vote for Trump. It has nothing to do with demographics. It has to do with the fact that I do not like or trust Trump. If he is the Republican candidate, I will do a write-in. Will a Democrat likely be elected? Yes. But I will not vote for Trump in any cicumstance.
*  Yes, Hillary is disgusting. But that is not a reason to vote for Trump. There is not lesser of two evils there.
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GOP pollster: Here’s how we know Trump has no chance in November
By Whit Ayres, April 1, 2016

Some Republicans have been trying to talk themselves into believing that Donald Trump would not be so bad as the Republican nominee for president. Maybe he really would scramble the political deck sufficiently, they think, to allow the party to retake the White House.

Those Republicans are whistling past the graveyard. A Trump nomination has as much chance of success in the general election as Trump University, or Trump Mortgage, or Trump Shuttle, or Trump Vodka, or Trump Casinos. Trump is an electoral disaster waiting to happen.

Demographic trends make clear that a Republican nominee who hopes to win a majority of the popular vote in 2016 must gain either 30 percent of the nonwhite vote or 65 percent of the white vote, a level not seen since President Ronald Reagan’s 49-state landslide sweep in 1984. Trump doesn’t stand a chance of doing either one.

Gain 30 percent of the nonwhite vote? Trump’s favorable to unfavorable ratings in the latest Post-ABC News national poll among nonwhites are 16 percent to 81 percent (72 percent strongly unfavorable); among Hispanics alone - the largest and fastest-growing minority group - they are 14 percent to 85 percent (74 percent strongly unfavorable). A Trump nomination could lock Hispanics into the Democratic column for a generation or more, threatening Republican presidential victories as far as the eye can see.

Gain 65 percent of the white vote? Trump’s favorable to unfavorable ratings among white women are 29 percent to 68 percent. His strongly unfavorable rating of 55 percent among white women is more than four times his strongly favorable rating among that group of 13 percent. How in the world could Trump reach 65 percent among whites overall if more than two-thirds of white women give him an unfavorable rating today, and if most of that unfavorable rating is intensely negative?

And that’s not all. Millennials have now passed baby boomers to become the largest generation. Trump’s ratings among millennials are now 18 percent favorable to 80 percent unfavorable, with 70 percent strongly unfavorable. Partisan identifications that are formed when voters come of political age tend to stick with them the rest of their lives, and a Trump nomination could push an entire generation into the Democratic column.

Negative ratings at these levels are historic for a major party nominee, creating hurricane-force head winds. And just imagine what Trump’s unfavorable ratings would be once the Democrats’ ads finish running.

But what about “the missing white voters” whom Trump supposedly would energize and bring into the electorate? Weren’t there more than 4 million whites who voted in 2008 but not 2012? Yes, and Mitt Romney lost by 5 million votes. Had every one of the missing white voters turned out and voted for Romney, he still would have lost.

Those whites who did not vote were concentrated in the deepest red states - Arkansas, Oklahoma, West Virginia - where President Obama never had a chance and lack of competition drove down turnout. No evidence exists of a dramatic falloff among white voters in the swing states that decide the outcome of a presidential contest.

Conservatives are fond of calling for dynamic scoring of the financial impact of changes in tax policy, where individuals’ behavior is incorporated into the estimate. For example, doubling the tax on yachts does not generate twice the revenue, because people in turn do not buy as many yachts.

We should apply the same concept to voter turnout. Would a Trump nomination bring more white voters to the polls? Undoubtedly, based on the high viewership of Republican debates and the high turnout in Republican primaries so far. Higher white turnout could conceivably put some of the Democratic- leaning but overwhelmingly white states of the Great Lakes region into play.

But the other side gets to play this game, too. There may have been 4 million fewer whites who voted in 2012, but there were also 12 million eligible Hispanic voters who stayed home. We know it is easier to drive voters to the polls to vote against rather than for a candidate - witness the tea party’s success in 2010 and 2014 in trying to stop the Obama agenda.

How difficult would it be to increase Hispanic turnout, given Trump’s ratings and his threat to deport 11 million immigrants? The easiest job in U.S. politics in 2016 goes to the Democratic operative charged with doubling Hispanic turnout to stop Trump. And that could put some Republican-leaning states with higher nonwhite populations, such as Georgia, into play.

Trump has a serious Republican problem as well. Since 1984, no victorious Republican presidential candidate has received less than 91 percent support from Republicans. Trump’s favorable to unfavorable ratings among Republicans are 52 percent to 47 percent, with 34 percent strongly unfavorable. A candidate beginning a general election campaign with almost half of his party holding unfavorable views is a non-starter. Contrast that with Hillary Clinton’s favorable to unfavorable ratings among Democrats of 78 percent to 20 percent.

A Trump nomination would put a Democrat in the White House, seriously threaten Republican majorities in Congress and leave the Republican Party in shambles. Let’s hope Republicans wake up before it’s too late.
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