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Thursday, October 7, 2010

Initiative 1100 or 1105 TV ads: what is the truth?

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Logically, the number of liquor sales outlets would be controlled by government-issued business licenses.  Don't want as many liquor stores?  Don't issue as many licenses!

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KING 5 Ad Watch: Would we see twice as many liquor stores per person as California?

by ROBERT MAK / KING 5 News
Posted on October 4, 2010


[snipped]
Would passing Initiative 1100 or 1105 really mean ten times as many stores selling hard liquor? That estimate comes from the state auditor.


Right now, you can only buy hard liquor from a state-run or contracted store and there are about 315 of them. The auditor estimated that if both liquor sales and distribution were privatized, the state could end up with as many as 3300 retail outlets selling hard liquor.  The initiative doesn't put a limit, though the auditor considers 3,300 is a high estimate.
[snipped]


Would we in fact have twice as many liquor stores per person as California? This statement is misleading.


If you take the auditor's high estimate of a possible 3,300 stores selling liquor and consider that our state's population is about 6.6 million, that's one store for every 2,000 residents.

In California, there are 13,321 stores selling hard liquor for a population of 37 million. That's one store for roughly 2,800 Californians.

So would we have twice as many stores per person? Hardly. So how do opponents do the math?

For this statistic, they ignored the auditor's estimate of 3,300 stores. They came up with their own estimate that 4,900 stores would want to sell hard liquor in our state.
[snipped]

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As above, just don't issue the licenses!!!

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